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[主观题]

High oil prices have not yet produced an economic shock among consuming countries, but fur

ther rises, especially sharp【21】, would undoubtedly hurt the world economy, and【22】would inevitably harm producers, too. Beyond this obvious point,【23】, higher prices could even do harm to both oil firms and producers.

Big oil firms【24】rolling in money today, but that disguises the fact that their longer-term prospects are【25】Behind the reserves-accounting scandal at Royal Dutch/ Shell【26】a problem bedeviling all of the majors: replacing their dwindling reserves.【27】existing fields in Alaska and the North Sea are rapidly declining; OPEC countries and Russia are【28】them out.【29】they are to survive in the long term, the big oil firms must embrace other sources of energy【30】oil.

【31】it is to believe, higher oil prices could be bad news for producing countries【32】Political leaders in Russia, Venezuela and other oil-rich countries are bending laws to crack【33】on foreign firms and to strengthen their grip on oil【34】through state-run firms. This may be convenient for the political leaders themselves. Alas, it is【35】to do much for their countrymen. For years corruption and inefficiency【36】the typical results of government control of oil resources.

Producing countries should【37】embrace open markets.【38】one thing, shutting out foreign investment will only hurt their own oil output by【39】the sharpest managers and latest technologies. For another, economic liberalization (including reform. of bloated welfare states) would help OPEC countries【40】their economies—as the NAFTA trade deal has done for oil-rich Mexico—and so prepare them for the day when the black gold starts running out.

(1)

A.ones

B.shock

C.prices

D.countries

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更多“High oil prices have not yet produced an economic shock among consuming countries, but fur”相关的问题

第1题

The economy started 2006 extremely strong in spite of record oil prices and rising interes
t rates. An unusually mild winter across much of the country is part of the story, but the lack of worry by consumers and business about oil prices is an even bigger part. The question remains, will we continue to glide down the economic highway or slip on oil?

Oil prices have raised overall consumer prices and cut into household purchasing power. So far the higher costs haven't deterred(阻止) buying, even buying of cars and other energy-sensitive items. The major reason for the lack of reaction is that oil is less important to the economy than it once was. Oil, which produced 45% of world energy in 1971, accounted for only 35% in 2003, with increases in nuclear and natural gas use making up the difference.

GM, Ford, and Chrysler suffered as buyers shifted to more fuel-efficient vehicles from Toyota and Honda, but the shift was hot pronounced. Admittedly, light truck sales are holding up in part because manufacturers are offering large discounts to "move the metal", but the fact that buyers are responding to those incentives shows they aren't too scared of gas prices.

Americans continue to spend more than they earn, but gasoline prices will have an effect. Although the April chain store results suggest gasoline prices aren't hurting much yet, eventually Americans will be forced to realize that they have to slow down. We expect the economy to slow in the second half of the year as the impact of higher oil prices sinks in. How much the economy slows will depend on how high oil prices remain. We expect some drop in oil prices by yearend, but I have been saying that for so long even I am starting not to believe it.

The anger against the oil companies is clearly misplaced. Exxon and friends control only a small share of world oil reserves. Most are now in the hands of state-owned oil companies. The recent move by Bolivia to nationalize its industry is only the latest in a long line of similar actions. The history of these enterprises is one of severe underinvestment and mismanagement, which tends to reduce supply and keep prices high. The risk on oil prices is primarily on the high side of our forecast.

Although I think oil prices will drop back in the medium term, to address my serious worries, I'm buying my wife a bike for Mothers' Day.

The economy at the beginning of 2006 is not affected by the high oil price mainly because ______.

A.the warm winter requires less oil to run the heaters

B.the warm winter promotes consumption, across the country

C.people believe that the oil price will drop in near future

D.people don't think the high price will make much of a difference

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第2题

Energy crisisThe year 1973 brought an end to the era of secure, cheap oil. In October, as

Energy crisis

The year 1973 brought an end to the era of secure, cheap oil. In October, as a result of the Arab Israeli War, the Arab oil-producing countries cut back oil production and embargoed (禁运) oil shipments to the United States and the Netherlands. Although the Arab cutbacks represented a loss of less than 7 percent in world supply, they created panic on the part of oil companies, consumers, oil traders, and some governments. Wild bidding (出价) for crude oil ensued when a few producing nations began to auction (拍卖) off some of their oil. This bidding encouraged the OPEC nations, which now numbered 13, to raise the price of all their crude oil to a level as high as eight times that of a few years earlier. The world oil scene gradually calmed, as a worldwide recession brought on in part by the higher oil prices cut the demand for oil. In the meantime, most OPEC governments took over ownership of the oil fields in their countries.

In 1978 a second oil crisis began when, as a result of the revolution that eventually drove the Shah of Iran from his throne, Iranian oil production and exports dropped drastically. Because Iran had been a major exporter, consumers again panicked. A replay of 1973 events, complete with wild bidding, again forced up oil prices during 1979. The outbreak of wax between Iran and Iraq in 1980 gave a further boost to oil prices. By the end of 1980 the price of crude oil stood at 19 times what it had been just ten years earlier.

The very high oil prices again contributed to a worldwide recession and gave energy conservation a big push. As oil demand reduced and suppliers increased, the world oil market went down. Significant increases in non-OPEC oil supplies, such as those in the North Sea, Mexico, Brazil, Egypt, China, and India, pushed oil prices even lower. Production in the Soviet Union reached 11.42 million barrels per day by 1989, accounting for 19.2 percent of world production in that year.

Despite the low world oil prices that have prevailed since 1986, concern over disruption (分裂,瓦解) has continued to be a major focus of energy policy in the industrialized countries. The short-term increases in prices following Iraq's invasion of Kuwait in 1990 reinforced this concern. Owing to its vast reserves, the Middle East will continue to be the major source of oil for the foreseeable future. However, new discoveries in the Caspian Sea region suggest that countries such as Kazakhstan may become major sources of petroleum in the 21st century.

Current state

In the 1990s, oil production by non-OPEC countries remained strong and production by OPEC countries rebounded (回弹). The result at the end of the 20th century was a world oil surplus and prices (when adjusted for inflation) that were. lower than in 1972.

Experts are uncertain about future oil supplies and prices. Low prices have spurred greater oil consumption, and experts question how long world petroleum reserves can keep pace with increased demand. Many of the world's leading petroleum geologists believe the world oil supply will peak around 80 million barrels per day between 2010 and 2020. (In 1998 world consumption was approximately 70 million barrels per day.) On the other hand, many economists believe that even modestly higher oil prices might lead to greater supply, since the oil companies would then have the economic incentive to exploit less accessible oil deposits.

Natural gas may be increasingly used in place of oil for applications such as power generation and transportation. One reason is that world reserves of natural gas have doubled since 1976, in part because of the discovery of major deposits of natural gas in Russia and in the Middle East. New facilities and pipelines are being constructed to help process and transport this natural gas from production wells to consumers.

In addition to developing alter

A.Y

B.N

C.NG

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第3题

Passage TwoQuestions 51 to 55 are based on the following passage.In the past, falling oil

Passage Two

Questions 51 to 55 are based on the following passage.

In the past, falling oil prices have given a boost to the world economy, but recent forecasts for global growth have been toned down, even as oil prices sink lower and lower. Does that mean the link between lower oil prices and growth has weakened?

Some experts say there are still good reasons to believe cheap oil should heat up the world economy. Consumers have more money in their pockets when they’re paying less at the pump. They spend that money on other things, which stimulates the economy.

The biggest gains go to countries that import most of their oil like China, Japan, and India. But doesn’t the extra money in the pockets of those countries, consumers mean an equal loss in oil-producing countries, cancelling out the gains? Not necessarily, says economic researcher Sara Johnson. “Many oil producers built up huge reserve funds when prices were high, so when prices fall they will draw on their reserves to support government spending and subsidies (补贴)for their consumers.”

But not all oil producers have big reserves. In Venezuela, collapsing oil prices have sent its economy into free-fall.

Economist Carl Weinberg believes the negative effects of plunging oil prices are overwhelming the positive effects of cheaper oil. The implication is a sharp decline in global trade, which has plunged partly because oil- producing nations can’t afford to import as much as they used to.

Sara Johnson acknowledges that the global economic benefit from a fall in oil prices today is likely lower than it was in the past. One reason is that more countries are big oil producers now, so the nations suffering from the prices drop account for a larger share of the global economy.

Consumers, in the U.S. at least, are acting cautiously with the savings they’re getting at the gas pump, as the memory of the recent great recession is still fresh in their mind. And a number of oil-producing countries are trimming their gasoline subsidies and raising taxes, so the net savings for global consumers is not as big as the oil price plunge might suggest.

51.What does the author mainly discuss in the passage?

A.The reasons behind the plunge of oil prices.

B.Possible ways to stimulate the global economy.

C.The impact of cheap oil on global economic growth.

D.The effect of falling oil prices on consumer spending.

52.Why do some experts believe cheap oil will stimulate the global economy?A.Manufacturers can produce consumer goods at a much lower cost.

B.Lower oil prices have always given a big boost to the global economy.

C.Oil prices may rise or fall but economic laws are not subject to change.

D.Consumers will spend their savings from cheap oil on other commodities.

53.What happens in many oil-exporting countries when oil prices go down?A.They suspend import of necessities from overseas.

B.They reduce production drastically to boost oil prices.

C.They use their money reserves to back up consumption.

D.They try to stop their economy from going into free-fall.

54.How does Carl Weinberg view the current oil price plunge?A.It is one that has seen no parallel in economic history.

B.Its negative effects more than cancel out its positive effects.

C.It still has a chance to give rise to a boom in the global economy.

D.Its effects on the global economy go against existing economic laws.

55.Why haven’t falling oil prices boosted the global economy as they did before?A.People are not spending all the money they save on gas.

B.The global economy is likely to undergo another recession.

C.Oil importers account for a larger portion of the global economy.

D.People the world over are afraid of a further plunge in oil prices.

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第4题

U. S. light crude for September delivery settled at $47.27, up 52 cents, on the New York M
ercantile. Exchange, then rose another 23 cents in after-hours trading.

【B1】______ .

On London's International Petroleum Exchange, Brent crude futures for October delivery touched a record $43.40 before settling at $43.03 a barrel Wednesday, up 4 cents from Tuesday's floor trade close.

Crude oil futures have now set a record high in 14 of the past 16 trading sessions in New York.

Analysts point to recent developments in Iraq, Russia and Venezuela, however, 【B2】______ .

"There are some signs that things are getting better," said Tom Bentz, a trader at BNP Paribas Futures in New York, the Associated Press reported.

"But the market is still in a very bullish mode," he added.

【B3】______ , prices are still below the peaks of 1981 and 1991. Wednesday's price rally was helped by an Energy Department report that showed declines in U. S. inventories of oil and gasoline. U.S. oil demand so far this year is up 3.5 percent.

Surging demand in China, India and other emerging economies are adding to supply pressures.

【B4】______ , and its imports are up 40 percent year-on-year to the end of July, according to recent data.

But analysts note a number of positive signs. Among them:

—Rebel Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr accepted a peace plan Wednesday to end fighting in Najaf, Iraq.

—Officials at Russia' s rail transport monopoly said China has agreed to step in and pay transportation fees to ensure that it continues to receive Yukos oil if the company is unable to cover the costs.

—Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez survived a recall vote Sunday, decreasing the likelihood of turmoil within the ranks of the state-run oil company.

Before the latest round of violence in Najaf; Iraq had been exporting roughly 1.7 million barrels of oil per day, 【B5】______ , according to a source within the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries who spoke on condition of anonymity.

A. while oil is up more than 40 percent this year, after adjusting for inflation

B. that is the highest in the 21 years that NYMEX has been trading oil futures

C. oil prices have been increased over the past few years

D. that could help ease fears behind the 27 percent run-up in oil prices in the last six weeks

E. since oil suppliers are quite satisfied with the result

F. although volumes have fallen recently to about 900,000 barrels per day

G. India is now among the largest oil exporters

H. China is now the world's second-largest oil consumer

【B1】______

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第5题

A fresh surge in oil prices and a rise in the cost of food pose the biggest threats to t
he recovery of poor countries from the global recession of 2008 and 2009, according to the World Bank.

In its latest economic health check, the Washington-based Bank said tougher economic policies and the jump in commodity prices would slow the pace of world growth this year before a pick-up in activity in 2012.

The Bank predicted that global growth was on course to edge down from 3.8 percent in 2010 to 3.2 percent this year, then accelerate to 3.6 percent in 2012. It forecast that the pace of activity in high-income countries would slow from 2.7 percent in 2011 to 2.2 percent in 2012. Developing countries, which were responsible for almost half global growth in 2010, would expand by 6.3 percent this year, down from 7.3 percent in 2010.

The Bank warned that its forecasts could be over-optimistic should oil prices continue to rise. Brent crude (布伦特原油) was t

1If oil prices keep rising, the forecasted global economic growth rate could be __________.

A、increased to 3.6 percent

B、increased to 6.3 percent

C、reduced to 2.2 percent

D、slowed by 0.5 percent

2What has been causing oil prices to continue to increase?

A、Market uncertainty or unstable oil supply.

B、The global recession of 2008 and 2009.

C、Over-optimistic forecast for economic growth.

D、Agreement reached by the OPEC oil cartel.

3What problem(s) do developing countries need to strive to address?

A、The slow economic growth rate.

B、Poverty brought by high food prices.

C、Structural imbalances and inflation pressures.

D、Tensions coming from high-income countries.

4According to the World Bank, high food prices had been a result of ____________.

A、high oil prices and decreased oil production

B、high oil prices and poor crop harvest

C、tougher economic policies

D、rise in other commodity prices

5How does the World Bank sound in making the predictions about economic growth?

A、Worried.

B、Objective.

C、Indifferent.

D、Sympathetic

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第6题

Sinking oil prices have led state legislators of Alaska to make adjustment on educationbud
gets for the next few years.

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第7题

The high speed trains can have a major impact oil travel preferences. ()

The high speed trains can have a major impact oil

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第8题

Could the bad old days of economic decline be about to return? Since OPEC agreed to supply
-cuts in March, the price of crude oil has jumped to almost $26 a barrel, up from less than $10 last December. This near-tripling of oil prices calls up scary memories of the 1973 oil shocks resulted in double-digit inflation and global economic decline. So where are the headlines warning of gloom and doom this time?

The oil price was given another push up this week when Iraq suspended oil exports. Strengthening economic growth, at the same time as winter grips the northern hemisphere, could push the price higher still in the short term.

Yet there are good reasons to expect the economic consequences now to be less severe than in the 1970s. In most countries the cost of crude oil now accounts for a smaller share of the price of petrol than it did in the 1970s. In Europe, taxes account for up to four-fifths of the retail price, so even quite big changes in the price of crude have a more muted effect on pump prices than in the past.

Rich economics are also less dependent on oil than they were, and so less sensitive to swings in the oil price. Energy conservation, a shift to other fuels and a decline in the importance of heavy, energy-intensive industries have reduces oil consumption. Software, consultancy and mobile telephones use far less oil than steel or car production. For each dollar of GDP (in constant prices) rich economics now use nearly 50% less oil than in 1973. The OECD estimates in its latest Economic Outlook that, if oil prices averaged $22 a barrel for a full year, compared with $13 in 1998, this would increase the oil import bill in rich economies by only 0.25—0.5% of GDP. That is less than one-quarter of the income loss in 1974 or 1980. On the other hand, oil-importing emerging economies—to which heavy industry has shifted—have become more energy intensive, and so could be more seriously squeezed.

One more reason not to lose sleep over the rise in oil prices is that, unlike the rises in the 1970s, it has not occurred against the background of general commodity-price inflation and global excess demand. A sizable portion of the world is only just emerging from economic decline. The Economist's commodity price index is broadly unchanging from a year ago. In 1973 commodity prices jumped by 70%, and in 1979 by almost 30%.

The main reason for the latest rise of oil price is ______.

A.global inflation

B.reduction in supply

C.fast growth in economy

D.Iraq's suspension of exports

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第9题

Why do some experts believe cheap oil will stimulate the global economy?A.Manufacturers ca

Why do some experts believe cheap oil will stimulate the global economy?

A.Manufacturers can produce consumer goods at a much lower cost.

B.Lower oil prices have always given a big boost to the global economy.

C.Oil prices may rise or fall but economic laws are not subject to change.

D.Consumers will spend their saving from cheap oil on other commodities.

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第10题

A.It has very few government expenses.B.It taxes large oil firms heavily.C.It taxes th

A.It has very few government expenses.

B.It taxes large oil firms heavily.

C.It taxes the citizens at high rates.

D.It doesn't have many regulations.

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